There's been a lot of press lately about the decline in sales of PCs.
Even assuming that the definition of "personal computer" is a traditional laptop or desktop -- I would extend the definition to include
- tablets of any size, and
- smartphones, not to mention
- netbooks and ultrabooks --
I doubt that the reason is limited to any one cause, such as
- the burgeoning sales of tablets,
- the greater proportion of mobile phones that is smartphones,
- the market's rejection (or not) of Windows 8,
- the growth of Chromebooks and other consumer-oriented thin client-based devices,
- the collapse of netbook sales,
- the ascending popularity of Apple generally,
- the ascendancy of cloud computing --
for example, see http://mashable.com/2013/04/12/windows-8-pc-sales-woes/,
http://www.zdnet.com/whos-killing-the-pc-blame-the-cloud-7000013954/, among other reports.
Rather, what I think is really grounding this phenomenon is akin to what is reported in this story -- "The real reason for the PC sales plunge: The era of 'good enough' computing," by Simon Bisson on April 11 in http://www.zdnet.com -- computers only need to be so good.
IDC's PC sales numbers show a dramatic fall, but they're not the whole story.
Before we blame one thing we need to take a much more nuanced view and look at the last decade of the IT world. After all, nothing is ever as simple as it seems.
We're at an interesting inflexion point in the IT industry where innovation is moving away from desktop PC hardware into software and into the server and up to the cloud.
The truth is quite simple: PCs are lasting longer, they're not getting measurably faster, and software is getting better. Why do you need to buy a new PC when you can get better performance with a software upgrade on your old hardware? [Emphasis mine.]
f I was to put a finger on the point where everything changed, where Windows stopped being the driver for PC sales, I’d have to point at Windows Vista.
That was the point where Microsoft and the PC OEMs stopped trusting each other. Microsoft made a bet on PC hardware and capabilities, and the PC industry pulled the rug out from under it, forcing the mess that was Vista Basic on users as they tried to sell cheap PCs with old graphics hardware.
That meant Microsoft had to change. It couldn't make that same bet on hardware anymore. It didn't trust OEMs to deliver on the promises the silicon vendors were making (and if we look at the initial Windows 8 hardware, it's pretty clear it was right to make that decision). So it made the software better instead.
New releases of Windows would need fewer resources, offer better performance, and (particularly important to mobile users) use less power.
So we shouldn't have been surprised when Windows 7 came along, bringing all that better performance on the same hardware. There wasn't a reason to buy a new PC for a new Windows any more.
We could just buy a cheap upgrade and get more life from our PCs. My Vista-era desktop systems got a performance bump because the software got better, taking advantage of the older hardware. I didn't need new PCs, I didn't even need a new graphics card.
I only bought my current PC last year because a hardware failure fried the Vista machine's motherboard. If I hadn't had a hardware failure I suspect I'd still be using that PC today.
The new machine has the same hard disks, even the same graphics card, using the same multi-monitor setup as that original Vista-era machine. It wasn't any faster, but it got another performance bump when I upgraded it to Windows 8 last summer. We even saw significant improvements on XP-era test hardware.
So yes, that means Windows 8 is one thing that's to blame for a slow-down in PC sales. You don't need a new PC to see a benefit from it, especially when you're getting a 10 percent speed bump over Windows 7 running on Vista-era hardware, and an extra hour or so battery life on a three year old laptop.
A cheap upgrade download and your old PC gets a new lease of life. Why do you need to spend several hundred pounds or dollars for extra performance when it comes with an operating system upgrade for a fraction of the cost?
So if our software gets better on older hardware, so what about all that new hardware?
See full story at link.